Service Plays Monday 05/18/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Magic ( 2-1/2) Sunday night.

Today it's the Diamondbacks. The surplus is 910 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

May 18, 2009

The astronauts' remarkable work on the Hubble Space Telescope last week seems almost terrestrial compared to yesterday's otherworldly achievement by their brethren in Wrigley. That's where the 11-5 under dog 'Stros hung on for dear life -- and Hondo -- to goose the runaway earnings to a whopping 435 kisons.

Tonight, he'll give 'Dorf On Pitching one more look -- 10 units on Ohlendorf to come up big in D.C.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin Bonus Play

(917) MILWAUKEE BREWERS
(918) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Take "(917) MILWAUKEE BREWERS"

The Cardinals are having all kinds of trouble generating offense right now. Aside from Pujols, there's not much to fear from the Redbirds, especially with Ludwick injured. The Brewers have taken over first place in the division this weekend, and would love to finish off the sweep tonight. Braden Looper has worked 17 career innings vs. St. Louis without giving up a run. He's not in good form right now, but neither is Kyle Lohse. The better team currently is the Brewers and they're the value at the price.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist Bonus Play

(905) COLORADO ROCKIES
(906) ATLANTA BRAVES
Take "(906) ATLANTA BRAVES"

While neither of these clubs looks to be a real threat in their respective divisions, the Braves 18-18 record has them just three games behind the Mets. The Braves are hitting pretty good as a team with a .261 team BA but have lacked the power of past teams as they fourth from the bottom in HR's in the NL. The Rockies have no lack of power, clubbing 47 round trippers this year for third in the NL. The problem for the Rockies has been pitching, where the team ERA is a poor 4.70. Only Jorge de la Rosa has an ERA below 4.00 among the starters. Today's starter, Jason Marquis, is 4-3 with a 5.40 ERA. The Braves counter with Derek Lowe, who has been excellent since coming over from the Dodgers in the off season. Lowe is 5-1 with a 3.80 ERA. Both teams are slow out of the gate, but we have a big difference in pitching staffs, especially with Lowe on the mound. Take the Braves and lay the price on Monday.

 

[fly73]

Rob Vinciletti

MLB | May 18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Florida Marlins Total 8½ un-120

On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Under in the Arizona-Florida game.Rotation numbers 903/4 at 7:10 eastern.Taking a look at some of the trends for this game we see that Arizona is 2-10 under on the road this year and has gone under 3 of 4 times when playing with a day off.Florida has gone under 3 of 4 times as a home dog in this range.The Marlins are hitting just .215 over there last 7 games and are now under 500.Fortunately they have Ricky Nolasco starting tonights game.In his home starts against the Diamondbacks he has been lights out allowing 2 runs in over 15 innings work and has a career 2.12 era vs Arizona.The last 3 years theses teams have played under 6 of 8 times here.Low scoring once again here tonight.Those lloking for 2 MLB SYSTEM pounders check out Mondays card.Bases is white hot right now with another late phone winner on KC on Sunday.Tonight there are 2 system plays.One is an 11-2 beauty,the other 12-4 with a 100% subset that wins by an average 7 runs per game.Jump on now and start cashing.Back the UNDER Arizona-Florida for the Bonus Play on Monday bol.

 

[fly73]

Craig Trapp

MLB | May 18
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees -1½+115

Another MLB Top Play won for Handicapper Craig Trapp yesterday with his Run Line Game of week (TOR -110) winning easy yesterday. Craig's Bonus Play lost with the Mets not being able to push any runs across and losing a close one. Today we will sweep the board no problem.


Records


Minnesota Twins 18-20, 4-11 away (Perkins 1-2, 4.27 ERA)


New York Yankees 20-17, 9-7 home (Pettitte 3-1, 4.00 ERA)



Betting Trends


-Twins are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.


-Twins are 0-5 in their last 5 games on grass.


-Yankees are 5-1 in Pettittes last 6 starts as a favorite.


-Yankees are 6-2 in Pettittes last 8 starts.



Love taking teams that win in heroic fashion and the Yankees have done it three games in a row. The first three games of the series the Yankees have come back in each to win in walk off fashion. Yankees have won seven straight home games over Minnesota and 22 of 25 meetings in New York. Today the Twins will be down emotionally and the Yankees will dominate with Pettitte who is due for a shut out. The Yankees offense has been good since AROD has came back and today they will knock around Perkins starting for Minnesota. EASY BIG WIN on Monday!! SCORE NYY 6 - MIN 1

 

[fly73]

DUNKEL MLB

Chicago White Sox at Toronto

The Blue Jays look to finish the sweep and build on their 8-1 record in their last 9 games as a favorite between -150 and -200. Toronto is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Jays favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-165). Here are all of today's picks.

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 15.301; Washington (Detwiler) 14.251
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Over

Game 903-904: Arizona at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 14.074; Florida (Nolasco) 15.239
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+120); Under

Game 905-906: Colorado at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Marquis) 14.188; Atlanta (Lowe) 14.023
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+160); Under

Game 907-908: NY Mets at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Redding) 15.571; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 16.719
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Under

Game 909-910: Chicago White Sox at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Richard) 13.400; Toronto (Richmond) 16.088
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-165); Under

Game 911-912: Oakland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gallagher) 15.731; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 14.517
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+130); Over

Game 913-914: Minnesota at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Perkins) 15.584; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 17.268
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-165); Under

Game 915-916: LA Angels at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 14.997; Seattle (Washburn) 16.007
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-115); Over

Game 917-918: Milwaukee at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 14.961; St. Louis (Lohse) 15.099
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 9

 

[fly73]

DUNKEL NHL

Carolina at Pittsburgh

The Penguins open the series looking to build on their 7-3 record in their last 10 playoff games as a favorite between -150 and -200. Pittsburgh is the pick (-200) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

Game 3-4: Carolina at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.332; Pittsburgh 14.429
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200); Under

 

[fly73]

INSIDE THE LINES

MONDAY, MAY 18

Updated by 2:00 P.M. Eastern Weekdays

Updated by 9:00 A.M. Eastern Weekends







NATIONAL LEAGUE



Milwaukee (23-14) at St. Louis (21-16)



The red-hot Brewers go for a series sweep of the Cardinals at Busch Stadium, with Milwaukee’s Braden Looper (3-2, 4.70 ERA) slated to oppose Kyle Lohse (3-2, 4.25) in an N.L. East clash.



Friday’s series opener was rained out, but the Brewers have since posted victories of 1-0 on Saturday and 8-2 on Sunday to run their winning streak to five in a row. Additionally, Milwaukee has won 11 of its last 13 and is 19-5 in its last 24 outings, going 9-2 on the road during this surge. The Brew Crew are on further streaks of 5-1 as an underdog, 13-3 against teams with a winning record and 9-2 versus N.L. Central foes.



St. Louis has now dropped six of its last eight games (all against the N.L. East) and nine of its last 13, and the team is 1-6 in its last seven against winning teams. Still, the Redbirds sport positive streaks of 18-6 at Busch Stadium and 21-7 as a home chalk.



In taking the first two meetings of the season series, Milwaukee continues to own this rivalry, going 9-1 in the last 10 clashes overall and 8-1 in its last nine games in St. Louis.



Looper earned an 8-6 home victory in his most recent outing Wednesday against the Marlins, despite surrendering five earned runs in six innings. Since starting the season 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in his first four starts (all Milwaukee wins), Looper is 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA in his last three outings. The veteran right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA in two road starts in 2009.



Lohse’s season has taken the same arc as Looper’s, as the right-hander went 3-0 with a 1.97 ERA in his first five starts, but he’s since given up 13 runs (all earned) on 16 hits (three home runs) over 10 1/3 innings in his last two outings, losing 6-1 to the Phillies at home and 8-3 to the Reds on the road. Despite the loss to Philadelphia, Lohse is still 3-1 with 3.20 ERA in four starts at Busch Stadium.



Looper, who pitched for St. Louis from 2007-2009, has faced his former mates 16 times, all in relief, and he’s delivered 17 consecutive scoreless innings while notching three saves. Meanwhile, Lohse is 3-3 with a 5.22 ERA in 11 career appearances (10 starts) against the Brewers. Last year, Lohse faced Milwaukee three times and posted a 4.26 ERA, with St. Louis losing all three games.



Although Sunday’s game barely crept over the posted total, the under is still 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings between these division rivals and 6-2-1 in the last nine battles at Busch Stadium. Also, St. Louis carries “under” trends of 4-1 overall (all against divisional opponents) 4-2 at home, 4-1 on Monday and 5-1 as a favorite. Finally, the Brewers are on “under” streaks of 7-3 as a road underdog and 6-1 in the third game of a series, though the over is 5-1 in their last six road games and 4-0 in their last four on Monday.



ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER





N.Y. Mets (21-16) at L.A. Dodgers (26-13)



After completing a successful first road trip without suspended slugger Manny Ramirez, the Dodgers return home to greet the Mets in the opener of a three-game series. Tim Redding is scheduled to make his 2009 debut and be matched up against L.A.’s Randy Wolf (2-1, 2.77).



The Dodgers started their six-game journey with a 5-3 loss at Philadelphia, but rebounded to win four of the last five contests, including Sunday’s 12-5 rout of the Marlins in which young left-hander Clayton Kershaw took a no-hitter into the eighth inning. Despite not having Ramirez, Los Angeles averaged 6.3 runs per game on the trip. Joe Torre’s club enters this contest on a slew of positive runs, including 23-10 overall, 40-14 at Dodger Stadium (14-3 this season), 17-6 following a victory, 21-10 on Mondays and 35-16 as a favorite.



New York came up short in its attempt for a four-game weekend sweep in San Francisco, losing 2-0 to the Giants on Sunday night to snap a three-game overall and five-game road winning streak. The Mets remain on impressive runs of 11-3 overall, 4-0 after a loss, 23-10 as an underdog and 13-4 against the N.L. West.



New York won four of the final five meetings against the Dodgers last year and is 9-5 in the last 14 head-to-head battles, including 4-3 at Dodger Stadium.



Wolf was fantastic in Wednesday’s contest in Philadelphia, scattering a run on three hits and three walks over six innings while striking out eight en route to a 9-2 road victory that snapped a sting of five consecutive no-decisions. Los Angeles is 8-2 in Wolf’s last 10 home starts and 8-3 in his last 11 as a favorite, including his first go-round with the team in 2007. This season, the veteran southpaw has yet to record a decision in three home outings, posting a 2.60 ERA in 17 1/3 innings.



Wolf has made 28 career starts against the Mets, going 11-5 with a 3.34 ERA. The 28 starts and 11 victories are the most for Wolf against any opponent, as are his 149 strikeouts and 175 innings.



Redding’s season has been delayed because of a shoulder injury. Last year with the Nationals, he went 10-11 with a 4.95 ERA in 33 starts, including 4-4 with a 4.23 ERA in 15 road games. The right-hander is 1-3 with a 5.64 ERA in six career appearances (four starts) against the Dodgers. However, the one victory came last year when he was with Washington and yielded three runs (all solo homers) in six innings of a 5-4 home win.



New York is riding “over” streaks of 9-2 overall, 6-2-1 on the road, 35-16-8 as an underdog, 24-9-4 as a road pup, 6-1-1 against the N.L. West and 6-0 when facing a southpaw starter. Similarly, the Dodgers are on “over” stretches of 16-5-1 against right-handed starters, 8-3-1 versus the N.L. East, 26-12-3 on Monday and 5-0 when Wolf faces N.L. East foes. Lastly, the over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 series meetings between these clubs at Dodger Stadium.



ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and OVER

 

[fly73]

Big Al
Our Monday night MLB selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays on their home turf at Tropicana Field over the Oakland Athletics.


How well have the Rays been playing on this current home stand? So well that they can even afford to bat a pitcher in the third spot in their lineup. In a bizarre situation on Sunday, Tampa manager Joe Maddon made an error on his lineup card when he listed both Evan Longoria and Ben Zobrist as third basemen with no DH in the lineup.

That error was pointed out after Zobrist took the field (and Longoria did not because he thought he would be the DH), so it meant that Longoria (who normally bats third) had to be replaced in the lineup by starter Andy Sonnanstine. After going hitless in his first two at-bats, Sonnanstine actually provided an RBI double in the fourth inning which helped his team win the game and enabled Tampa to take three of the four vs. Cleveland.

Oakland has been having no such offensive luck lately. In fact the A's were embarrassed in a three-game sweep at the hands of the Tigers this weekend, with the combined score for the series 34-8.

Oakland's dreadful road record now stands at 5-11. Despite taking two of three against the Rays in the Bay Area earlier in the season, Oakland has lost five of the last six games in this series when playing at Tropicana Field. And it doesn't help its chances that it sends righthander Sean Gallagher to the mound this evening. He's a spot starter with a career 6-8 record and 5.45 ERA. Take the Rays.

Free Pick: Rays -135




Totals4U

Monday's free selection: Oakland/Tampa Bay over 9 1/2




The Vegas Steam Line

Free Winner for Monday: Take MINNESOTA (Perkins) +150 over NY Yankees




Matt Fargo Bonus Play
GAME: LOS ANGELES ANGELS @ SEATTLE MARINERS MAY 18, 2009 10:10PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: Los Angeles Angels

REASON FOR PICK: The Angels were swept in Texas over the weekend which halted a very solid run of 12-4 in their previous 16 games leading up to that three-game series. The Rangers are playing great right now so the sweep cannot be considered all that surprising. Los Angeles now gets to face a team that is going the opposite directions. Despite a series win against the Red Sox, the Mariners have cooled off considerably following a very hot start. Seattle is just 6-14 over its last 20 games and it has not won back-to-back games since April 24th and 25th as it has gone 0-6 in its last six games following a victory. The Angels send John Lackey to the hill who will be making his first start of the season. He did toss two pitches on Saturday before getting ejected for throwing at Ian Kinsler but that certainly does not constitute a real start. Lackey had spent six weeks recovering from a strained right forearm before making a couple rehab stats prior to getting back with the big club. He is 10-8 in his career against the Mariners with a 3.90 ERA in 22 starts and he is 7-5 at Safeco Field with a 2.79 ERA in 13 starts. He did not face the Mariners last season and that actually helps his situation here. He faces off against Jarrod Washburn who has been solid for the most part in the early part of the season. He has a very good 3.11 ERA and 1.14 WHIP though seven starts but the Mariners are just 3-4 in those games. Seattle is averaging 3.6 rpg so that is part of the problem for a lack of wins. His worst start this season came against the Angels which was no surprise as he has struggled against his former club. He is 5-6 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 12 starts including allowing six runs in 5.1 innings back on April 26th. The Angels are 24-8 in Lackey’s last 32 road starts against a team with a losing record while the Mariners are 5-14 in Washburn’s last 19 home starts. The Angels are 6-0 in Lackey’s last six starts against the Mariners and they have won eight of the last 11 meetings in Seattle. 3* Los Angeles Angels





Joe Wiz Bonus Play
Pirates




Cappers Access
Blue Jays (RL)
Brewers



Golden Contender Bonus Play
MLB | May 18
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Florida Marlins Total 8½ un-120

On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Under in the Arizona-Florida game.Rotation numbers 903/4 at 7:10 eastern.Taking a look at some of the trends for this game we see that Arizona is 2-10 under on the road this year and has gone under 3 of 4 times when playing with a day off.Florida has gone under 3 of 4 times as a home dog in this range.The Marlins are hitting just .215 over there last 7 games and are now under 500.Fortunately they have Ricky Nolasco starting tonights game.In his home starts against the Diamondbacks he has been lights out allowing 2 runs in over 15 innings work and has a career 2.12 era vs Arizona.The last 3 years theses teams have played under 6 of 8 times here.Low scoring once again here tonight.Those lloking for 2 MLB SYSTEM pounders check out Mondays card.Bases is white hot right now with another late phone winner on KC on Sunday.Tonight there are 2 system plays.One is an 11-2 beauty,the other 12-4 with a 100% subset that wins by an average 7 runs per game.Jump on now and start cashing.Back the UNDER Arizona-Florida for the Bonus Play on Monday bol

 

[fly73]

D C I
Eastern Conference Semifinals
Game 1, best-of-7
Carolina vs. PITTSBURGH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[boomshakalaka]

Ben Burns picks

Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals - under 10

Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins - under 5.5

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals - St. Louis Cardinals -121

All of the above listed picks are confirmed purchases, bought and paid for by me.

 

[fly73]

RatedPicks 5/18 MLB (small *BP*)

Blue Jays RUN LINE -1.5 +130

The Blue Jays love playing in the sun. They have a 13-2 record during the day, they should also have a sell out crowd in the stands pumping them up, as first place Toronto celebrates a national holiday today. A much improved Blue Jays team throws Scott Richmand on the mound who faces off against Clayton Richard. The last time Richard faced the Blue Jays he lasted 4 innings as the Blue Jays pounded him for 5 runs injust 4 innings. Richard has also given up a 5.40 ERA and clubs hit a staggering .314 BAA against him. Couple this with the fact that he holds a lifetime record of 2-6, and the last time he faced the Blue Jays he was taken out in the 3rd inning while he got hammered for 4 runs, and had the bases loaded 2 of those 3 innings.

________________________________________ _________________

LA Angels -102

Lackey is the small underdog here, on the road vs the Mariners. The Mariners counter with Washburn, who has been getting pounded as of late against the Angels ball club. Going 1-4, and giving up 20 runs in the process. Lets take the small dog on the road in this one, as Lackey has yet to get a start since coming back. Look for Lackey to come in pumped after the ejection, and play this game a little stronger then normal. Reccommend taking on an extra 20% of your normal bet, as this is considered a smaller *BP*

________________________________________ ____________________________

Arizona D'Backs -130

Haren is a great pitcher vs Nolasco who is on a horrible tear. Haren for the D'Backs is posting a 2.09 ERA, but is 3-4 on the season. Due to the fact that his offense hasnt given him any runs. The D'Backs bats appear to have started to heat up as of late, and going against a shaky Marlins pitcher in Nolasco, They should take this easy win on the road.

Regards,
Ratedpicks.com

 

[wags4]

Charlies

500* Arizona @ Florida Under 8'
30* Angles @ Seattle Under 8'
20* Washington -110
20* St.louis -130
10* Mets +135
Oakland +135 Bonus Play

 

[boomshakalaka]

The Miller Group picks

Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays - Toronto Blue Jays -160

Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins - under 5.5

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners - under 8.5

All of the above listed picks are confirmed purchases, bought and paid for by me.

 

[jnc750]

Anthony Redd

Monday's Card
5 Dime Yankees-Twins Under

 

[stanz]

SportsOddsAndPicks.com for Monday:

MLB

OVER 9.5 RUNS White Sox at Toronto 1:05 p.m. ET


NHL Playoffs

OVER 5.5 GOALS Carolina at Pittsburgh 7:35 p.m. ET

 

[backdoorcover1]

WUNDERDOG AFTERNOON PLAY

Game: Chicago White Sox at Toronto (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Toronto -170 (moneyline)

The Blue Jays are crushing the ball and getting solid pitching. That has translated to the best record in the American League at 26-14. The Jays 5.8 runs per game sits atop all of MLB. Neither pitcher in this one is getting any rave reviews at this point, but when you look at the White Sox who have dropped three straight and sit at 7-13 on the road, it looks a lot like a year ago. The Sox, while winning the AL Central, were a dismal 35-46 on the road, so combine the numbers and just 42-59 in their last 101 on the road. It doesn't help when you’re allowing 5.5 runs per game on the road, especially facing baseball’s most productive offense. I'm going with the Jays here

 

[ecrazul1977]

Brian Marshall Free MLB Pick

St Louis Cardinals (-125)